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Plus4: Recap
Jackson Koivun takes the world by storm for his 1st PGA TOUR win in his 3rd event as professional. A ground-breaking weekend that puts the whole world on notice.
I chose to tie my DK lineups to LOSAHS in Keith Mitchell, Kitayama and not follow the Koivun hype. Hand up -> bad call.
Our core play Michael Kim (and my call to win) was the 36-hole leader after a crazy Friday 59. Turns out Mike flew too close to the sun and burned out early.
The same goes for Michael Brennan, who faltered over the scorching weekend.
And Bill Mouw who lost almost 6 strokes putting in 2 days to miss the cut on the number (gutting loss there)
Plus4: Detroit GC
In the final Rocket Mortgage, we get a completely new Detroit GC. A Donald Ross course castrated by Fazio has been returned to glory (by preliminary reports) by Tyler Rae. Rather than my own breakdown, I’ll point you to Ron Klos, who conducted a great walkthrough on the changes. My summary and what flows into my model this week is:
- Expect a lower GIR: New greens and refined fairways will make approach play more difficult, while still easy. I believe with the renovation and much newer greenside bunkers and greenscapes, the way to play Detroit will be from the traditional areas of the fairway… this is much different than the past.
- Putting and ARG: With the restoration, the greens and greenside areas should play as intended by D. Ross and create spots to place pins that have historically been too benign and stalked by the field.
Plus4: Detroit GC corollary courses
Go grab a look at our new ‘Course breakdown’ site.
New here? Visit our Plus4 approach page to learn about our process
Plus4 Picks: Rocket Classic
Reminder: the player pool below is focused on DraftKings ownership, inclusive of leverage considerations and player upside.
Favorite Play:
JJ Spaun – $8.7k …
Ben Griffin – $8.9k …
Star Anchor:
Cam Young – $10.5k … As long as the course shows a touch of teeth, Cam should be able to feast a place where he should by now have one win.
Gotterup – $9.8k
Gut Check:
Wallace – $7.4k …
Thorbjornsen– $8.2k …
Nakajima – $7.0k …
Favorite Sub-$7,000:
Schmid – $6.8k
Mouw – $6.8k
McGreevy – $6.8
Haotong – $6.7
Marty Dou – $6.9
Plus4 Bets: Rocket Classic
My odds shown below via the datagolf.com Custom Model tool
- Spaun
- Wallace
- Nakajima
- McGreevy
- Mouw
- Schmid
- Dou
- Echavarria (already hate it)
You can decipher good plays above via the odds tool, my highlighted plays and at PGA TOUR weekly course breakdown, insights, and player betting expectations.
As always, GL GL GL.
All content on this website is for informational and entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any information provided. Betting involves risk, and you may lose money.
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